17/10/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

We went very close to a perfect result at Randwick last week, with 3 out of 4 movers selections saluting.

We also struck twice in Melbourne, which included Caulfield Guineas winner Ole Kirk at handy $3.20 odds.

Punters who snapped up the odds of each of the 8 tips detected by our proven model walked away with 62% Profit on Turnover (POT).

Once again Randwick presents us with more betting leads this week, and hopefully we can go one better for the perfect result on Everest Day.

In Melbourne, a bumper Caulfield Cup day card also holds opportunities, with plenty of plays identified below.

 

Caulfield Tips  

 

Jenkins

The Matt Cumani stable are very shrewd and in recent times, have placed their horses to perfection.

He was good at Echuca last start when well supported as favourite ($2.40), before running on strongly to place 2 of 10.

There were genuine excuses last time out when he was held up at a crucial stage, and now up to 1700m will suit.  

 

Let’s Karaka Deel

Was ridden quietly in the Derby trial at Flemington where he was never really allowed to have a crack at them.

It looks to be a classic Maher/Eustice set up here and I expect them to show plenty of intent this time out.

Watch betting late and if more money arrives close to start time, he should be winning. Yes.

 

Garner

SA visitor who is attempting another Melbourne stakes money raid.

The stable know the right horse to send, and he was only 0.7 lengths off Diamond Effort here two starts back.

He maps well from the inside draw and if rails in run is the preferred going, expect him to be awfully hard to beat.

 

Best Of Days

Has plenty of quality and did show enough last start (3 of 11) at Flemington to warrant attention here.

He has not won in a while, however ran-on strongly last time out in what appears an excellent trial for this.

A few smart judges have already identified him and he could start shorter.

 

Randwick Tips

 

Purple Sector  

Finished close-up (0.2 lengths) last start at Rosehill when 2 of 11 behind Prime Candidate. Bottega finished third in that race and has since come out and franked the form, with a solid effort at Randwick.

He drops way down in weight (52kg) and does get an in-form Rachel King.

Plenty of ticks here and bookmakers clearly had the early price wrong.

 

Only Mine

Was heavily backed ($7 into $4.60) at Warwick Farm last start before absolutely braining them all (won by 3.8 lengths).

She certainly deserves her chance in Saturday grade and could still have an abundance of upside.

The speed map looks ideal launching from gate 4, and she can race just in behind the leading pair with Brenton Avdulla peeling when he chooses.

 

Standout

Promised the world as a star three-year-old colt but has since disappointed with his return as a four-year-old.

He may have just needed the first two runs back this prep to find form, and now deeper into the prep the money suggests he is ready.

The talent shown early in his career is simply far too good to ignore. Can bounce back here.

 

She’s Ideel

Loves Randwick (3:3-0-0) and with the unbeaten record at the track it would be brave to bet against her.

She is out to 2600m for the first time here and looks to be well suited by the longer trip.

On the quick back-up and now rock hard fit, expect the rider can position closer in the run and be even more dynamic late.