Oct 18, 2018 04:20 PM
Author: James Beeson
Mares to enjoy chance at restricted level
|| 4-Y-O & Up, Mares, SW + P
||White Moss ($4.50)
Restricted to mares only, the Nivison gives those runners who are usually a shade below genuine stakes grade a chance to shine.
The protection that 'girls only' status brings also makes for an intriguing betting spectacle, giving punters a wide and even market.
With rain affected conditions again likely at Randwick, those with superior wet form will hold the key.
Randwick Track Traits
Randwick is currently rated a Heavy 8 with the rail out +8m from the 1600m mark to the winning post and +6m the remainder.
Last week, the Everest day card yielded an abundance of mudlark winners, where those with strong wet form dominated.
With rain predicted again for Saturday, expect that trend to continue this week with similar racing surface conditions likely.
Wide draws are likely to hold an advantage, with riders looking to angle to the outside fence as the inside lanes chop up.
Racing Market Movers
There has been a big go for Pecans, who has surged into favouritism at $4.80 from an opening quote of $7. Eckstein has moved in the opposite direction, softening to $5.50 from $4.80.
There are no other moves of note in early betting, with punters likely to be shying away until track conditions become clearer.
#1 Egyptian Symbol $10
Is the class runner and backs up from last week's Everest consolation, the Sydney Stakes.
Although he finished last (10 of 10), he drops way down in grade here and can bounce back.
All runs this prep have been at Group level and this looks a very winnable race, going off the run three back in the Toy Show where he won well in the Heavy going.
Holds a serious fitness edge and can win.
#2 Pecans $7 > $4.80
Godolphin reject who is kicking goals for the new stable and has also won at stakes level since the switch to Joe Pride.
Comes off a 19 week break, which is of concern first-up on a likely Heavy racing surface.
Looking to others with a fitness edge. No.
#3 Eckstein $4.80 > $5.50
Returns from a successful Melbourne raid, where she won the Paris Lane Stakes impressively last start.
That form is excellent for this race and from gate 9, Mitchell Bell can position midfield and sprint hard off a predicted moderate tempo.
She loves the wet (5:3-0-0) and looks to be peaking now. Can go back to back. Yes.
#5 Epidemic $12
Was soft in the market late in the How Now stakes at Caulfield last start, where she ran accordingly when finishing a well beaten 10 of 13.
This looks a similar grade and she would need to improve dramatically to trouble these.
With an ugly looking speed map, where she will be getting well back in what looks a moderately run race, there is certainly plenty against. No.
#8 Test The World $10
Has a touch of class and although she has drawn out in gate 11, could still find the lead here and dictate.
The wet form is strong (5:2-2-0) and she can plough through what is likely to be rain affected going.
Arrives first-up and is another that will need to overcome the fitness query on a testing surface.
However, with the strong fresh form she can be highly competitive. Goes on top.
#9 Resin $8
Godolphin have three runners entered in this and betting markets reveal this as their leading chance.
She won well last start in Benchmark 78 grade and is stepping up to stakes level again after a number of unsuccessful attempts.
This race looks to lack depth and she was ultra impressive when racing away to win by 2 lengths last start.
Huge chance to secure a stakes victory here. Yes.
#10 Dyslexic $6.50
Is first-up and has solid stakes form from last prep, where she was always competitive in quality races without winning.
Team Hawkes usually have them wound up to go fresh.
Look for her to slot in midfield and be close enough when the sprint goes on.
Leading hoop Tommy Berry takes the ride and can get the job done. Top hope.
Of The Others
Best Racing Tips
1st Test The World
3rd Egyptian Symbol
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