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  • 01:41:32 AEST
  • Friday, 19 October 2018
Kings Will Dream 041018

Flemington Tips: Turnbull Stakes Preview 2018


Best of the rest. Exotics & "Winx Out" market plays

Distance 2000m
Grade Group 1
Track Rating Good 4
Prizemoney $150,000
Class Group 1 (4-Y-O & Up, SW + P, Maidens Ineligible)
2017 winner Winx ($1.20)

This week with the great mare sure to dominate again and the nation willing her on, it would be un-Australian to pot her! 

Hence, we will focus on the best runners to include in exotic bet types and also a comprehensive "Winx Out" selection guide- a market that many bookies will offer closer to jump.

 

Race Track Race Flemington Track Traits

Flemington is currently rated a Good 4 with the rail out 9m the entire circuit and fine conditions predicted for Saturday.

With the rail out, it can be argued the advantage for on-speed types is enhanced, however the spaces at Flemington are vast and run-on profiles typically still have their chance.

As always, a close watch is advised early for any signs of track bias.

 

Market Movers Racing Market Movers

The great mare Winx remains rock solid at $1.16 and as the multi rolls continue to build, expect the price to shorten further.

A longer price move has been seen for Trap For Fools, trimmed from $101 to $81.   

 

Horse Racing Key Runners

#1 Grunt 

Was expected to run much better last start in The Underwood, where he jumped favourite yet could only manage a battling 6 of 9 after leading.

He was revved up early from a wide gate to get across the face on that occasion, hence willing to forgive.

Draws out again for this in gate 9 and expect the team to revert to run-on tactics on this occasion, with a noted speedster drawn inside.

I like him more with a run-on profile and he will be highly fancied in the 'Winx out market' to atone.

This is the absolute A-grade, however back to his favoured Flemington he is right up to it. Leading hope. 

 

#2 Winx 

Simply wins. 

 

#4 Kings Will Dream

Will get the speed he needs to run-on here with Trap For Fools engaged and whilst he won't be as dynamic as Winx, he will be running home hard.

The stable instructions are likely to be in favour of a more positive ride from the inside draw in gate 1, and he is a good chance of racing in the front half of this field.

Ridden in this manner is his best chance to claim the top prize behind Winx.

Can find clean air from a more forward position this time out and be close enough to fill second placing.

 

#5 Jon Snow

Australian Derby winner who ran a bottler in The Makybe Diva here last start, when placing 3 of 12.

He was ridden close-to-speed on that occasion in behind the leader.

I doubt he gets a cosy on-speed run this time out, as he is the one most likely doing all the work carting the entire field up to the tearaway leader Trap For Fools.

He is the workhorse on this occasion and should be avoided at all costs. No. 

 

#10 Youngstar

Brilliant throughout the Brisbane winter carnival when winning The Oaks, and good in The Derby against the boys.

She has returned in great order and shown enough in the early runs this prep, in good Sydney grade.

Slight concern she is just too far off them when they start to sprint up, however she does have a lethal turn of foot.

Like others, if they opt to ride closer she could surprise a few of her more fancied rivals.

Has the ability to put in a big run.

 

Of The Others

#7 Trap For Fools came up at ridiculous odds with some bookies in early markets, opening at $150.

The pro punters were doing as much as they could at that price, in recognition that he leads on his ear and could be left alone out in front until the death.

Is a genuine top 3 hope and looks a great bet at odds in the 'Winx out markets' if they bet a big price. 

 

Best Exotic Play

Box Quinella (just in case) 

1 Grunt, 2 Winx, 4 Kings Will Dream, 7 Trap For Fools

 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips for 'Winx Out Market'

1st  Kings Will Dream

2nd  Grunt

3rd  Trap For Fools

4th  Youngstar

There are loads more Flemington tips in our dedicated Flemington tip market. It includes tips from all of Australia's top racing analysts in the media and professional punters who have tips posted for race meetings at the track.

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