Warwick Farm Finish

06/01/21 Best Bets at Warwick Farm

Gannon's Mail at the Farm

We head to Sydney's West on Wednesday for a competitive seven race card at Warwick Farm. 

After weeks of rain on the east coast, the weather looks to have cleared up in Sydney which will help dry out the track. 

With warm weather forecast, we look set to race on a Soft 7 surface with the rail out 3m for the entire circuit. 

At this set-up, I expect jockeys to look for the best going down the middle of the straight.

The middle to wide barriers should prove to be an advantage, especially later in the day.

 

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Warwick Farm Race 1 Tip #7 Mount Fuji $2.15

This three-year-old colt by Snitzel produced a solid first-up run over the Warwick Farm 1100m and looks set to break his maiden here. 

Off the back of three trials and one race start, he will be reaching peak fitness which is a big plus on the rain affected track.

His breeding also suggests he'll handle the going, which is another significant form factor in his favour.

He was doing his best work late over the 1100m last start, so the rise to 1200m looks suitable, as does the 1kg weight drop and the perfect draw.

From barrier 5, Jason Collet can sit a few pairs back in the running line before peeling wide and coming with one run. 

He's short at the current quote but given he ticks plenty of boxes and races against what looks to be weak opposition, $2 is his right price.

 

Warwick Farm Race 5 Tip #5 All That Sass $6.50

This Hinchinbrook filly showed plenty of guts last start.

After racing wide throughout, she lugged 58kg into fourth running 2.69 lengths off the winner. 

Importantly, she gets the blinkers on for the first time here and gains the services of an in-form Sam Clipperton.

She's had the two trials and one run leading this clash, which will have her at peak fitness and all signs point to the Waterhouse/Bott stable having her ready to win.

She drops 2kg from her last start and has drawn ideally to jump and lead them up.

The favourite, Flexible, is likely to be giving away 3-4 lengths start and I doubt she'll be able run All That Sass down. 

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Author Biography

Michael Gannon

Michael Gannon

Michael is a life-long punter who enjoys the challenge of unearthing value buried within betting markets. The former golf pro knows a thing or two about performing under pressure.

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