Form Lay

11/01/20 Horse racing Lays of the Day

Big weight not so sweet for Candy

After finishing 2019 with 16 successful lays from 18 selections, we look to kick off 2020 where we left off by identifying horses that appear under the odds.

This week’s runners to avoid include a Queensland cult hero, who will be asked to carry a big weight against better quality.

At Flemington we are happy to pot the favourite in the feature race, due to the sharp class rise and lack of tempo. 

Expect a market drift for both runners.  

 

Gold Coast Race 3 #1 The Candy Man $2.10

Has strong local form, following back-to-back wins against the Brisbane B and C graders. However, he now strikes some quality for the first time in a while here.

He is asked to carry 61.5kg again and although successful last start, he will need to be at his absolute best to lump that and win against this better quality field.  

Due to the big weight, if they attempt to find a midfield position from gate 9 and get trapped wide throughout, it will be a near impossible task to win.

The horse has a cult following now with the non-price sensitive mug punter and he is certain to be well under the odds across all totes. 

As market liquidity builds close to start time, I expect the bigger syndicates to take him on. Avoid. 

 

Flemington Race 7 #5 Bumper Blast $2.20

Did not beat much to my eye last start, and was completely blessed by the hot tempo up front after finding the perfect off-speed position to run-on.

I’m terrified of his SP profile, where it was one of the biggest gapping moves in betting you will see last start ($3.70 into $2.90 late).

However, this is his first try in stakes grade and I’m more than happy to be against him at the poison odds.

There is plenty of quality here and I doubt he is suited by the small field, where the tempo looks slow. 

He had the ideal slingshot run last time out and was very flattered. 

Expect it to be much harder here. Lay. 

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

4/7/20 Saturday racing tips: Lays of the Day

The boys were bang on with their Lays of the Day last week, after both horses succumbed to the false favourite tag and f.....

Jul 02, 2020 05:26PM
READ MORE

4/7/20 Flemington Tips and best bets

Flemington plays host to Finals Race Day this weekend, which is undoubtedly the feature event on the entire Melbourne Wi.....

Jul 02, 2020 03:28PM
READ MORE

2/7/20 Greyhound Tips for Thursday

Greyhound tips from Jmon3y   Jmon3y's tips have generated $39,270 profit from $100 win bets since tipping at theGreat.....

Jul 02, 2020 12:54PM
READ MORE

2/7/20 Best horse racing tips today

Horse racing returns to Hawkesbury this Thursday, with a tough seven race card ahead for punters.  The track is curre.....

Jul 01, 2020 08:27AM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Top 5 Tipsters

460% POT
Get Tips
2.  THEEPROFILER
PRO
420% POT
3.  Goldo6681
PUNTER
310% POT
4.  Nektarios
PUNTER
310% POT
5.  BUTTERFLY
PRO
290% POT
View Full Leaderboard

Next Race to Jump

WOODBINE R7 Tip
WOODBINE R8 Tip
EMERALD DOWNS.. R1 Tip
EMERALD DOWNS.. R2 Tip
EMERALD DOWNS.. R3 Tip
EMERALD DOWNS.. R4 Tip
HOOSIER PARK R2 Tip
MOHAWK R1 Tip
HOOSIER PARK R3 Tip
YONKERS R1 Tip
MOHAWK R2 Tip
HOOSIER PARK R4 Tip
ADDINGTON R1 Tip
ADDINGTON R2 Tip
ADDINGTON R3 Tip
TOWNSVILLE R1 Tip
CRANBOURNE R1 Tip
ADDINGTON R4 Tip

More Racing news you might like

2/7/20 Best horse racing tips today

Horse racing returns to Hawkesbury this Thursday, with a tough seven race card ahead for punters.  The track is curre.....

READ MORE

1/7/20 Racing Tipster of the week

Horse Racing tipster of the week It was a good week to be backing the media tipsters, after a number of them ste.....

READ MORE

1/7/20 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free racing tips from Rick Morris Rick's tips have delivered punters 13% Profit on Turnover over the past 365 days.  .....

READ MORE

1/7/20 Best Bets at Randwick Kensington

Randwick Kensington plays host to a competitive seven-race card on Wednesday. Warmer weather is predicted for Sydney .....

READ MORE

1/7/20 Sandown Tips and Best Bets

Midweek Victorian metropolitan racing takes place at Sandown Lakeside on Wednesday, with a strong eight-race card s.....

READ MORE

30/6/20 Best horse racing tips today

Gosford hosts a strong eight-race card on Tuesday, with fine weather forecast for the NSW Central Coast region.  The .....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2020 S93 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.