Method Detail
Untitled Document
Betting is like playing a horse racing game. Like any game you have to have a winning strategy. Here is mine.
There are two parts to my system:
- I rate each horse's
run (a lot of homework) and
- I use the ratings
to assess each horse's chance in its races using its previous run ratings.
A horse's run rating considers
where the horse was placed and the quality of the field.
The rating is relative
e.g. a mid-week class 6 winner is likely to get a lower rating than a horse
finishing mid-field in a Group 1 race.
Field quality considers
each horse's historical record, its current campaign performance and where
it is in its campaign (i.e. improve, decline, or holding).
When assessing each race
I take each runners rating from its last 3 runs and only take those horses
where there are rating standouts (i.e. at least a 20% gap between the top
rated horse and the rest of the field). For these standouts I then check for
any conditions that the horse may not like e.g. wet going for a dry tracker.
I leave races where the
majority of the field has not had at least 2 runs in this campaign.
Hope it helps!!
