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7/7/20 Best horse racing tips today

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Best bets at Newcastle

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Tagged: Best Horse Racing Tips Today, Newcastle, JoshReed

Newcastle plays host to a strong seven-race card on Tuesday, with some quality betting races ahead for punters. 

The track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 8m the entire circuit.

At this set-up, there could be a small advantage to on-pace runners. 

 

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Josh tipped 2 winners from 2 selections on Monday at Moree!   

You can subscribe to free alerts every time he posts tips by following him here. 

 

From the stewards

The runner which stands out in the steward's report is Mr Plow in race 6.

The Casino Prince gelding was very disappointing last start at Scone, but he had excuses.

The jockey was instructed to ride without vigour in the early stages and obtain cover to prevent him from over racing.

Unfortunately however, he raced fiercely in the early stages and couldn't be restrained which meant he raced without cover.

The trainer Tracey Bartley confirmed the instructions and expressed the view that the rider should have shown more initiative to allow the gelding to stride freely. 

Bartley also mentioned that for this run, the gelding's winkers and norton bit would be removed and the jockey will be instructed to lead. 

 

Jockey to follow

Brenton Avdulla has great stats at Newcastle.

Avdulla has had 34 rides here in the past 12 months, winning 9 at a strike rate of 26%. 

The gun hoop has 3 rides today, with his best chance coming in race 7 on Al Snip.

 

I've identified 4-races on today's card that represent good betting opportunities.

Below is my best bet and quaddie numbers. For my full tip package and runner comments, click here.

 

Newcastle Race 5 Tip #6 Atkinson $6.00

This Spill The Beans gelding has plenty of upside and looks to have found a nice race.

He's coming off a solid third placing at Scone last start behind Skara Brae, who has since come out and run a flashing third in the Highway at Randwick on Saturday.

Fourth placed Halcyon House has also franked the form-lines of that race, after winning at Muswellbrook on Friday.

The gelding comes into this race third-up and finally gets to a Good track. He has drawn barrier six, which is ideal considering he likes to lead and gets 3kg claimer Qin Yong aboard.

With most of the speed drawn out wide, expect him to find the rail in running and do little work throughout.

Sticking to the 900m suits and you can expect him to be right in the thick of it, at good each-way odds.

 

Newcastle Quaddie Numbers

Race 4: 2, 5, 8

Race 5: 1, 5, 6

Race 6: 1, 3, 4, 8, 9, 11

Race 7: 5, 7, 8, 11

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Jul 06, 2020 09:10 AM
by Joshua Reed

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