Apr 30, 2015 12:04 AM
Author: Mike Steward
Betting on multiple horses in a race to profit
After receiving a strong response to Jude's place multi-bet approach last week
I have dug into the vault to focus on another popular betting strategy this
week. This strategy involves backing multiple horses in the same race to make
a profit, and it is one of the more popular approaches used by professional
punters in Australia. Many social punters who try this approach often get confused
on how much to stake on each horse and therefore usually resort to even staking
on each selection, only to be disappointed by thin profits or losses when one
of their selection wins. The optimal staking strategy for multiple bets in a
race requires a sophisticated calculator which I was lucky enough to receive
during the 2014 Spring Carnival, configured for three bets in a race. Here's
how it works.
We are looking at selecting three horses in a race because that's what I have
to work with. Punters who use this betting strategy typically look for the value
runners in the race who they believe have a realistic chance of winning. The
thinking here is that if the three runners are over or at true odds at worst,
then the punter should be in the money over time.
Using the multiple bet calculator
The calculator is very each to use by much more sophisticated to set-up. After
selecting the three horses I want to back in the race I enter their fixed odds
prices in the area highlighted in yellow.
It's important to take fixed odds here because you are setting your staking
amount based on the odds of each of the three runners. If you use an odds product
like best tote for this betting approach the return equation is likely to look
very different when you collect.
Moving from left to right across the calculator here's what everything means.
% of outlay to bet
The calculator determines a set profit amount that can be achieved from betting
on each of the three horses in the race. Once the odds are entered into the
calculator it determines the percentages of the overall stake amount for the
race that is bet on each runner. In the example the punter will bet 64% of the
stake on Caprese, 13% on Bee Jay Zed and 23% on Mana Trust.
To find out exactly how much the punter needs to enter into the stake window
on the bet slip he first needs to decide on how much he is wants to invest in
the race. If it's $20 he looks at the $20 outlay column. If it's $1,000 he looks
at the $1,000 outlay column.
The profit column shows the return, less the outlay, that
the punter will receive from the three bets in the race if any of the horses
win. Note that the return is the same regardless of which horse wins.
The potential profit to be made from the multiple bets strategy works off the
odds for each of the three selections. In the above example the average win
odds across the three bets is $6.40 and the profit as a percentage of turnover
is 40.4%. In another example shown below the average odds for the three runners
is $6.70 and the profit percentage if any of the three horses win is 76.9%.
This trend is indicative of how the risk - return dial moves together. The higher
the risk (i.e. the higher the average odds of the three runners), the higher
the return and vice versa.
Key messages when betting on multiple horses in a race
- Try and identify value runners that you think can win to increase your chances
of profiting from this approach.
- Don't use an even staking approach. Use a fit for purpose calculator configured
to the number of bets you are having in the race.
- Bet for the win.
- Take Fixed Odds as fluctuating odds products will give a different result
than the one you have calculated.
I thought that punters might be interested in having access to the multiple
bets calculator however The GTO development team is very busy at the moment
putting the finishing touches on a huge new upgrade and I haven't been able
to convince them that it is worth giving priority to. If you want access
to it just add
a post under this article on our Facebook page indicating that you want access.
The more posts I get the better chance I have of convincing the development
team to make it available to you very soon.