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Delivering value to greyhound punters isn't as easy as gun tipster Clint from all-greyhounds.com makes it look. Having amassed an amazing 42% profit from 281 long shot greyhound racing tips and a 90% win strike rate from his 20 short priced "cannot lose" tips, there is no doubt that this tipster knows how to make punters money.
When we asked Clint about his winning ways we expected him to talk about a sophisticated computer system with a team of race reviewers entering data. Incredibly, Clint reviews every Australian greyhound race meeting himself and the sophisticated computer system resides solely in his head.
Having an interest in greyhounds as a child when he road with his grandfather who transported greyhounds across the country, it was only eight years ago that he started focusing on the betting side of the sport. Now a days when he is not advising companies on how to run their business he is reviewing race after race and committing each greyhounds performance to memory.
How does he pick them?
Clint is a self-confessed walking computer storage facility with an ability to recall any Australian greyhound's last 5 runs including which box it jumped from at a drop of a hat. Recently he proved this talent to a non-believer at Crown Casino asking him to pick any greyhound he could think of. Clint fired back the greyhound's form in seconds of the sceptic sounding it's name.
Clint uses his amazing retention of greyhound form in conjunction with speed maps to assess each greyhound's chance of winning. He then looks for value - where the price on offer is greater than the greyhound's chance of winning. The biggest opportunities reside in those races where their is a short priced favourite which is driven by punters who like to follow the leader. Clint refers to this as the "sheep factor of punters".
Any advice on ....
Tracks?
Clint is not too deterred by tracks as the punter can get there head around them ok these days with speed maps. He prefers track that give each dog a fair chance of winning. For example he is not of fan of Casino which tends to favour front runners.
Staking?
Recently starting to work with various staking strategies, Clint states that his clients are having good success with a progressive system and a rigid bankroll approach. At the end of the day, he says, a solid strike rate is the key ingredient to any successful staking strategy.
When asked why punt on greyhounds rather than the gallops or harness racing he sited the lack of human intervention as the key.
Dogs are mad chasers and therefore their form is easy to work out, especially at the top level. In horse and harness racing you have to work out the horses ability and whether or not the jockey/driver is smart enough to not massacre it in the run.
Clint suggests punters who do not have time to analyse the form, should pay special attention to a greyhound's best performance regardless of how their recent form looks. Invariably the greyhound will match it's best effort again, providing a nice pay day for punters when it happens. Alternatively subscribe to Clint's value tips or short price certainties so you know as soon as his tips are posted.
To qualify for a mention we set the bar at 100 wins or more. A solid indicator that a tipster has been at it for long enough to dismiss any possibility of lucky streaks.
With this tough criteria applied we reveal 5 horse racing tipsters.
Win Profit 19% from 151 wins
- strike rate of 23%
- average win price of $5.10
- average of 6.35 tips per week
Win Profit 17% from 224 wins
- strike rate of 19%
- average win price of $6.21
- average of 237 tips per week
Win Profit 8% from 186 wins
- strike rate of 20%
- average win price of $5.27
- average of 9 tips per week
Win Profit 3% from 186 wins
- strike rate of 39%
- average win price of $2.66
- average of 2.4 tips per week (started recording Jay's mid week tips in 2011)
Win Profit 1% from 434 wins
- strike rate of 34%
- average win price of $2.94
- average of 21 tips per week
Just before we greeted the new year a new group of pro tipsters were crowned and elevated to Pro Tipster status as a result of their outstanding performances tipping at theGreatTipOff.com.
There were three Greyhound Tipsters and four Horse Racing Tipsters who graduated to professional tipster status.
Greyhound tipsters who exceeded 25% win profit after at least 65 consecutive tips in profit to graduate included:
Cyberyang achieved pro with a win profit average of 65%
NoLuckNeeded achieved pro with a win profit average of 38%
XcitinPix achieved pro with a win profit average of 87%
Horse racing tipsters who also exceeded 25% win profit after at least 65 tips in profit in a row included:
TheRealHondoTown achieved pro with a win profit average of 51%
BeautifulFart achieved pro with a win profit average of 95%
Foxones achieved pro with a win profit average of 39%
Explicit achieve pro with a win profit average of 26%
These tipsters are amassing a significant following through the tip alert service on their respective tipping home pages. This following is starting to translate into new subscriptions for these talented form analysts and one would assume, some tidy profits for the punters that follow them.
As we wind down towards the final week of 2011 it's time again to pat the star tipsters of 2011 on the back.
To find our top media and non-media tipster of the year we considered not only the win profit for the past 12 months but also the volume of tips and how long the tipster has tipped for within the year.
The top horse racing media tipster for 2011 has been awarded to Jay Rooney from The West Australian. Jay was a standout ticking all the boxes with the highest win profit of 20% amongst the media tipsters from a significant 140 tips. Rooney achieved a win strike rate of 42% and a place strike rate of 67%.
Rooney is finishing the year with a wet sail. His last 15 tips include no less than 9 wins and 4 places with 7 of those wins coming from the last 9 tips.
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| The West Australian tipster Jay Rooney is flying as 2011 draws to a close |
The top horse racing non media tipsters for 2011 goes to Chris Bushell a.k.a WinningTips. Although there are a few above him on the 12 month leader board none have tipped as much through the year as Bushell. Bushell's 12% profit has come from 112 tips with a win strike rate of 25% and a place strike rate of 54%.
We'll be rolling out the remaining awards over the coming days so be sure to check in.
After presenting the Moonee Valley racing tipster specialists to our readers last week to prepare for Cox Plate day, we thought that it was worth revisiting our analysis to see how their form held up.
To refresh your memory we added the list of Moonee Valley specialists below with notes on how they performed as an additional column.
| Tipster | Source | Win Profit | Recorded tips at Moonee Valley | 2011 Cox Plate Day Moonee Valley Performance |
| Tony Brassel | Sky Racing | 41% | 27 | 1 win from 3 tips at MV for 17% profit |
| Greg Miles | Sky Racing | 33% | 36 | No win for 1 best bet at MV |
| Adrian Dunn | Herald Sun | 29% | 43 | No win for 1 best bet at MV |
| Cim85 | theGreatTipOff | 26% | 23 | No tip at MV |
| Gary Harley | Sydney Morning Herald | 21% | 66 | 1 win from 2 tips at MV for 65% profit |
| Nick Quinn | Herald Sun | 20% | 45 | 1 win from 1 best bet at MV for 230% profit |
| Rod11 | theGreatTipOff | 19% | 154 | 5 wins from 7 tips at MV for 115% |
| Niconero | theGreatTipOff | 13% | 100 | No tip at MV |
Four tipsters out of the six that tipped at Moonee Valley from this list showed a profit, and handsome ones at that.
The two specialists who didn't win, Greg Miles and Adrian Dunn, only had the one best bet. Without making any excuses it is fair to suggest this is a pretty small sample to conclude that they didn't live up to their Moonee Valley form.
In preparation for next week's Victoria Derby we will review the Flemington specialist racing tipsters so that punters have up to date information for the big day. To do your own analysis check out the horse racing tipster leader board.
